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  •  » Top half finish should be the target

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    22/1/2024 5:41 PM  #1

    Matchman
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    Registered: 26/2/2016
    Posts: 13,842

    Top half finish should be the target

    .
    According to the Football Web Pages Predicted final table; 68 points is needed to get into the playoffs. Ilkeston currently have 36 points from 26 matches. So to make the playoffs we need another 32 points from 14 remaining matches. That means winning at least 10 of the outstanding 14 fixtures Realistically that isn’t likely to happen  

    These are our remaining fixtures:
    Stafford  (A)
    Marine (H)
    Lancaster (H)
    Macclesfield (A)
    Radcliffe. (H)
    Bamber Bridge (A)
    Hyde  (H)
    Guiseley (A)
    Bradford (H)
    Matlock (A)
    Atherton (H)
    Ashton (A)
    Morpeth (H)
    Warrington (A) 


    Points needed to get into the playoffs cannot be calculated exactly of course and depends on the result of the other clubs. So it could be that less than 68 points are needed.  



     

    Last edited by Matchman (23/1/2024 5:52 PM)

     

    23/1/2024 8:00 AM  #2

    Matchman
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    Registered: 26/2/2016
    Posts: 13,842

    Re: Top half finish should be the target

    .
    It looks like Radcliffe will be champions and Warrington are best placed to finish second. So that leaves three playoff places and Marine, Hyde, Worksop, Guiseley, Macclesfield and Whitby are currently the main contenders. 

    3rd placed Marine have 45 points and still have to play 
    Worksop (H)
    FC United (A)
    Ilkeston (A)
    Radcliffe (A)
    Bradford (H)
    Macclesfield (A)
    Guiseley (H)
    Lancaster (A)
    Matlock (A)
    Warrington (A)
    Morpeth (H)
    Workington (A)
    Atherton (H)
    Ashton (A)
    9 of Marine's 14 remaining matches are away 


    4th placed Hyde have 45 points and still have to play
    Morpeth (A)
    Workington (H)
    Basford (A)
    Stafford (H)
    Whitby (A)
    Atherton (H)
    Workington (A
    )Ilkeston (A)
    Warrington (H)
    Worksop (A)
    Macclesfield) (H)
    FC United (H)
    Gainsborough (A)
    Matlock (H)  


    5th placed Worksop have 44 points and still have to play
    Marine (A)
    Ashton (H)
    Radcliffe (H)
    Matlock (A)
    Bamber Bridge (H)
    Guiseley (A)
    Ashton (A)
    Macclesfield (H)
    Bradford (A)
    Hyde (H)
    Basford (A)
    Workington (H)
    Morpeth (A)
    Warrington (H)
    Atherton (A)  


    6th Placed Guiseley have 42 points and still have to play
    Macclesfield.(H)
    Radcliffe (A)
    Ashton (A)
    Morpeth (H)
    Stafford (A)
    Worksop (H)
    Radcliffe(H)
    Marine (A)
    Ilkeston (H)
    Lancaster (H)
    Warrington (H)
    Matlock (A)
    FC United (H)
    Workington (A)
    *Atherton (A)      not yet arranged
    *Whitby (A).        not yet arranged  


    7th placed Macclesfield have 41 points and still have to play
    Guiseley (A)
    Bamber Bridge (H)
    Ilkeston (H)
    Ashton (A)
    Atherton (A)
    Marine (H)
    Bamber Bridge (A)
    Worksop (A)
    Morpeth (H)
    FC United (H)
    Hyde (A)
    Basford (A)
    Workington (H)
    Whitby (A)
    * Stafford (A)         not yet arranged   


    8th placed Whitby have 38 points and still have to play
    Matlock (H)
    Workington (A)
    Basford (H)
    FC United (H)
    Hyde (H)
    Gainsborough (A)
    Gainsborough (H)
    Bradford (H)
    Matlock (A)
    Ashton (A)
    Morpeth (H)
    Stafford (A)
    Radcliffe (H)
    Bamber Bridge (A)
    Macclesfield (H)
    *Guiseley (H)         not yet arranged
    *Lancaster (H).      not yet arranged
    11 of Whitby's 17 remaining fixtures are at home


    All of the above teams are going to drop points between now and the end of the season due to it being such a wide open league.
    Ilkeston are currently 10th and 8 points off a playoff place 
    Last season Ian Deakin took Long Eaton from the bottom of the league to the playoffs
    We can't expect another miracle but if we could match last season's 7th position finish, that would be a massive achievement in this much tougher Northern Premier League.


     

    Last edited by Matchman (23/1/2024 5:54 PM)

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    23/1/2024 9:55 AM  #3

    Alex
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    Registered: 14/6/2019
    Posts: 1,076

    Re: Top half finish should be the target

    I say take every game as it comes.

    1st test marine at home. Let's see what happens

     

    23/1/2024 10:59 AM  #4

    Matchman
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    Registered: 26/2/2016
    Posts: 13,842

    Re: Top half finish should be the target

    .
    Sorry Alex, I just like projecting forward with possible scenarios.

     Looking at the remaining fixtures for each team I calculate that this could be how the playoff positions finish

          1  Radcliffe              Champions
          .................................................... 
                                            Points
          2  Warrington     .          76
          3  Macclesfield.             69
          4  Hyde                         68 
          5  Whitby                       67
          ................................................... 
          6  Worksop.                   65
          7  Marine.                      65
          8  Guiseley.                   64
          9  Ilkeston                    60


    For Ilkeston to finsh with 60 poimts would be an remarkable achievement . That's 24 points from our remaining 14 matches (7 wins and 3 draws)


    Ilkeston's 24 points is arrived at from the following predicted match results

                                                         Points
              Stafford  (A)                               3
              Marine (H)                                 1
              Lancaster (H)                            3
              Macclesfield (A)                          -
              Radcliffe. (H)                              -
              Bamber Bridge (A)                      3
              Hyde  (H)                                    1
              Guiseley (A)                                 -
              Bradford (H)                               3
              Matlock (A)                                  3
              Atherton (H)                               3
              Ashton (A)                                   1
              Morpeth (H)                                3
              Warrington (A)                              -         
                                                               ___         
              Total Points                                24           
                                                               ===


     

    Last edited by Matchman (23/1/2024 5:34 PM)

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